Technical Outlook for AMLM, BANR, AVOE, and CT

Capital Trust, Banner Corporation, Avro Energy, and American Lithium Minerals examined up close and personal.

2 Comment(s) - Post a Comment

# / Rating : 0 / 0.00 - 1 : 2 : 3 : 4 : 5

Thursday October 22, 2009 9:44 AM PDT

By James E Brumley

Once again, the market can't seem to find its bearings after conflicting earnings news and economic data. A handful of stocks have managed to stave of the indecisiveness though, and preserved their trade-worthiness. Those names are Avro Energy Inc. (OTC:AVOE), American Lithium Minerals Inc. (OTC:AMLM), Capital Trust, Inc. (NYSE:CT), and Banner Corporation (NASDAQ:BANR). Let's run each of them through the wringer and see what shakes out.

There was a bastion of hope for Capital Trust, Inc. (NYSE:CT), as long as support at $2.55 held up. Today's low of $2.42 tells us pretty clearly that it did not hold up.

The early warning for a pullback from CT actually came on September 24th, following a couple days worth of surge, and a pullback that was pretty strong. The downside wasn't clinched for Capital Trust shares, however, until today's move to new multi-week lows. If you look closely (and squint just right), you can see a head-and-shoulderish pattern as well.

As for a downside target, you should know that Capital Trust is no stranger to big, long moves.... even in 2009. A return to July's low around $1.20 is entirely possible for CT, though selling volume would need to ramp up to drive the stock all the way there.

Avro Energy Inc. (OTC:AVOE) may be one of the market's better-kept secrets right now. On the other hand, if today's volume is any clue, then the secret is out.

Just to be fair, this is purely a trading call based on the chart - the fundamentals from Avro Energy don't support a bullish opinion yet, but they don't need to.  What I'm seeing on the chart of AVOE is a nice, slow reversal that's been gathering more buyers - as evidenced by rising volume - on the way up. It's exactly what you want to see.

As for an upside, I don't think it's reasonable to assume Avro Energy have what it takes right now to exceed the August peak of $2.46, though I don't think it's crazy to assume it will at least retest that mark.

Again, this is strictly a chart-based trade idea for AVOE.... I love these slow, bowl-shaped turnarounds.

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Sign-up for Free to Receive Future Commentary and
Trading Alerts on CT, AMLM, BANR, and AVOE.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

I came across Banner Corporation (NASDAQ:BANR) yesterday, and dismissed it as the time. I live high-volume breaks above major resistance lines, but for one reason or another, I didn't warm up to this one.

In retrospect, it was clearly the wrong choice to ignore Banner Corporation, as the stock's raging again today on even higher volume. Yet, there's still enough upside left to bother with putting BANR on your radar today.

The chart says it all. The falling ceiling was snapped with one good shot, and the buyers are coming back for even more Banner Corporation shares today. I don't foresee any major resistance for BANR in the near future, though the 38.2% Fibonacci line at $3.96 has been a little turbulent for us before. I'm eying the bigger target at $5.00 though.



Finally, it may have been a great ride with American Lithium Minerals Inc. (OTC:AMLM), but I think the party's over. In other words, I think it's time to take profits and move on.

I can't recall the last time I saw hype drive a stock higher as well as I witnessed it with American Lithium Minerals over the last two months. Those bubbles never last though, and I think the AMLM bubble just popped today after yesterdays blowoff top.

My worry here isn't just that American Lithium Minerals is overbought. What I'm keying in on is the extreme height of yesterday's gaining bar, and the equal height of today's bearish bar. Moreover, the close at the high yesterday and the open at the high today just suggests this is the pivot point where the bulls relinquish control of ALML to the bears. Volume behind today's selling is alarmingly strong.

The 'ideal' two-bar reversal pattern (to the downside) would be a close today at or under yesterday's low. If not today, the effect on American Lithium Minerals would still be the same if it happened tomorrow.

If you'd like to know of any changes in our opinion of AVOE, CT, AMLM, and BANR (or if we officially recommend them as trades), be sure to sign up for our free newsletter today. It's delivered weekly.
1 - 2 of 2 First « Previous Next » Last

To bri

Comment #2 Posted by James E Brumley Fri Oct 23, 2009 1:30PM PDT

# / Rating : 0 / 0.00 - 1 : 2 : 3 : 4 : 5

Geez, AVOE did get a little rocked today. Yikes. Not too bad though..... it was fighting back at the close, which is always a good sign (particularly on a Friday). Thanks for chiming in.

AVOE

Comment #1 Posted by bri pet Fri Oct 23, 2009 11:42AM PDT

# / Rating : 0 / 0.00 - 1 : 2 : 3 : 4 : 5

Just browsing around some financial sites but would like to acknowledge the AVOE call. Looks like its setting up for its next Bull ride and complements for spotting it, regardless of the nice fall it took today.

1 - 2 of 2 First « Previous Next » Last

Post a Comment
 

Title of the comment

Content of the comment

 
Bookmark and Share
 
Welcome! 
 

Interact and communicate with other savvy investors. Publish your own research and analysis, comment and rate other member articles of interest.

Discover and share the next big hidden gems!

Join Today! Creating a free account is simple and easy. Just go to the menu bar at the very top of this page and select "Join".

 
Why Become a Member? 
 
  • Connect, share and prosper from insightful analysis by experienced investors and traders.
  • Communicate, collaborate and exchange ideas on stocks and other market related topics.
  • Promote your knowledge and expertise and gain access to valuable SEO tools and functions.
  • Learn from investors and traders who have successfully navigated the markets for years.
  • Identify stocks and other investment ideas you never would have found elsewhere.
 
Whitelist Us 
 

Having Trouble Getting Our Email Newsletter?  Whitelist Us.

Click here for more info...

Wednesday October 28, 2009 4:35 PM GMT
If you’re a fan of trading the SPDR S&P 500 Fund (NYSE:SPY), or any index vehicle for that matter, you may want to put your bearish hat on. It’s no secret that the market’s been sinking for the last few days - we’ve seen plenty of ebb and flow since March. What traders may not [...]
Monday March 30, 2009 2:50 PM GMT
Wow. It’s not too often stocks lose a collective 3% within the first 5 minutes of trading. I suspected we were due for a nasty pullback (the kind of dip I forecasted on Thursday), and sure enough, here it is. The S&P 500 has now given up 4.8% from Thursday’s high. Is this enough to [...]
Thursday March 26, 2009 5:53 PM GMT
I hate to be a wet blanket here, but since nobody else seems willing to do it, I’ll put the task on my shoulders. So, here goes - despite the 22% bounce since March 9th, it’s not like the market is out of the woods yet. We still have some barriers to break through before [...]
Tuesday March 24, 2009 6:11 PM GMT
Yesterday’s gain was touted as being the best gain of the year. Fine, but that’s no big deal. The sellers have been relentless most of the year, so it wouldn’t necessarily be a great feat to be the biggest gain of the year (less than three months) so far. What I’m kind of baffled about [...]
 
SCN Newsletters 
 
Friday November 20, 2009 8:46 AM PST
Since we didn't have any new trades last week, we definitely want to add a couple this week to refill some of the ones we carved out a couple of weeks ago. As usual, we've got one bullish pick, and one bearish pick. Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) - Bullish Surprised? Don't be. Advance Auto Parts Inc...
Friday November 13, 2009 9:15 AM PST
Assuming today's trading is uneventful and we don't make an unexpected move within the next few hours, we're probably going to end the session a little higher than Thursday's closing levels. And, that'll mean a decent 2.0% gain for the week. The situation is not nearly as bearish as the numbers would...
Friday November 6, 2009 9:43 AM PST
Though stocks slipped back into the red pretty quickly this morning after disappointing employment news was digested, the market should end the day with a decent gain for the week. I still have my doubts about this week's rally though. The buying volume was never all that strong, and we're still overbought...

This community is currently in beta and is constantly undergoing active development.  Please be patient as we strive to bring you a usable, full-featured community that you will enjoy.  If you should have any questions, problems, suggestions, feature requests, rants, and/or raves, please do not hesitate to let us know by writing us as : webmaster@smallcapnetwork.com.