UTA: A Ticket to Ride

This Chinese travel agency won't stay under Wall Street radar for long.

0 Comment(s) - Post a Comment

# / Rating : 0 / 0.00 - 1 : 2 : 3 : 4 : 5

Wednesday October 28, 2009 10:33 AM PDT

By Ken Tudor

Universal Travel Group (UTA:NYSE) is a consortium of six Chinese domiciled subsidiaries that provide air ticketing, hotel reservations and tour package services in China. Although competing with Wall Street darlings, ctrip.com (CTRP) and eLong (LONG.W), this young, small cap, derives a more balanced revenue source from its three segments with air ticketing providing 47% of profits, hotel reservations providing 23%, and package tours providing the remaining 30%. CTRP’s revenues are heavily weighted to online air ticketing and hotel reservations and LONG.W weighted almost entirely toward online hotel reservations. While CTRP and LONG bleed cash, UTA is experiencing triple digit revenue growth (yoy) in all segments, while holding $17 million in cash with no debt.

 


Sign up for Free to Receive Future Commentary And Trading Alerts on UTA


 

China has the greatest worldwide internet usage, but 95% of these internet users do not transact business on-line. Millions of other Chinese citizens do not have access to the internet. Recognizing this ahead of the competition, UTA has initiated a program of providing TRIPEASY kiosks in hotels, office buildings, shopping malls, and train stations to accommodate travel arrangements for those without internet access and those unwillingly to transact purchases on-line.

UTA has also recognized the middle class growth potential in tier-two cities in China ahead of the competition. Accessing these fast growing tourism resources with strategic travel agent partnerships will greatly expand UTA’s customer base

 UTA’s earning’s growth, ROA, ROI, ROE are eclipsing the competition. An incredible net income efficiency ratio of $82,165/employee versus $8,106 for CTRP and -$937 for LONG.W are testimony to an efficient business model. All other ratios of P/S, P/B, and free cash flow favor UTA over the competition. With a 5 year discounted cash flow model value of $23-$52 dollars and P/E of 11, this stock is selling at a deep discount.

UTA’s only negative is the low profit margin of packaged tours. Destination travel, housing, and entertainment packages are purchased from providers with limited room for mark-up. These lower margins weigh heavily on overall profitability, scaring Wall Street analyst and keeping this stock under the radar.

Because Chinese travel contracts in the winter and during Chinese New Year, the share price of UTA should pull back with 4th and 1st (2010) quarter earnings releases, so investors should look for an entry point below the present $13.00/share. My entry target is $10-$11/share.

If you’d like to know of any changes in our opinion of UTA (or if we officially recommend it as a trade), be sure to sign up for our free weekly newsletter today.


Post a Comment
 

Title of the comment

Content of the comment

 
Bookmark and Share
 
Welcome! 
 

Interact and communicate with other savvy investors. Publish your own research and analysis, comment and rate other member articles of interest.

Discover and share the next big hidden gems!

Join Today! Creating a free account is simple and easy. Just go to the menu bar at the very top of this page and select "Join".

 
Why Become a Member? 
 
  • Connect, share and prosper from insightful analysis by experienced investors and traders.
  • Communicate, collaborate and exchange ideas on stocks and other market related topics.
  • Promote your knowledge and expertise and gain access to valuable SEO tools and functions.
  • Learn from investors and traders who have successfully navigated the markets for years.
  • Identify stocks and other investment ideas you never would have found elsewhere.
 
Whitelist Us 
 

Having Trouble Getting Our Email Newsletter?  Whitelist Us.

Click here for more info...

Wednesday October 28, 2009 4:35 PM GMT
If you’re a fan of trading the SPDR S&P 500 Fund (NYSE:SPY), or any index vehicle for that matter, you may want to put your bearish hat on. It’s no secret that the market’s been sinking for the last few days - we’ve seen plenty of ebb and flow since March. What traders may not [...]
Monday March 30, 2009 2:50 PM GMT
Wow. It’s not too often stocks lose a collective 3% within the first 5 minutes of trading. I suspected we were due for a nasty pullback (the kind of dip I forecasted on Thursday), and sure enough, here it is. The S&P 500 has now given up 4.8% from Thursday’s high. Is this enough to [...]
Thursday March 26, 2009 5:53 PM GMT
I hate to be a wet blanket here, but since nobody else seems willing to do it, I’ll put the task on my shoulders. So, here goes - despite the 22% bounce since March 9th, it’s not like the market is out of the woods yet. We still have some barriers to break through before [...]
Tuesday March 24, 2009 6:11 PM GMT
Yesterday’s gain was touted as being the best gain of the year. Fine, but that’s no big deal. The sellers have been relentless most of the year, so it wouldn’t necessarily be a great feat to be the biggest gain of the year (less than three months) so far. What I’m kind of baffled about [...]
 
SCN Newsletters 
 
Friday November 20, 2009 8:46 AM PST
Since we didn't have any new trades last week, we definitely want to add a couple this week to refill some of the ones we carved out a couple of weeks ago. As usual, we've got one bullish pick, and one bearish pick. Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) - Bullish Surprised? Don't be. Advance Auto Parts Inc...
Friday November 13, 2009 9:15 AM PST
Assuming today's trading is uneventful and we don't make an unexpected move within the next few hours, we're probably going to end the session a little higher than Thursday's closing levels. And, that'll mean a decent 2.0% gain for the week. The situation is not nearly as bearish as the numbers would...
Friday November 6, 2009 9:43 AM PST
Though stocks slipped back into the red pretty quickly this morning after disappointing employment news was digested, the market should end the day with a decent gain for the week. I still have my doubts about this week's rally though. The buying volume was never all that strong, and we're still overbought...

This community is currently in beta and is constantly undergoing active development.  Please be patient as we strive to bring you a usable, full-featured community that you will enjoy.  If you should have any questions, problems, suggestions, feature requests, rants, and/or raves, please do not hesitate to let us know by writing us as : webmaster@smallcapnetwork.com.